Predicting primary outcomes of brain tumor patients with advanced neuroimaging MRI measures.

Background: Advanced neuroimaging measures along with clinical variables acquired during standard imaging protocols provide a rich source of information for brain tumor patient treatment and management. Machine learning analysis has had much recent success in neuroimaging applications for normal and patient populations and has potential, specifically for brain tumor patient outcome prediction. The purpose of this work was to construct, using the current patient population distribution, a high accuracy predictor for brain tumor patient outcomes of mortality and morbidity (i.e., transient and persistent language and motor deficits). The clinical value offered is a statistical tool to help guide treatment and planning as well as an investigation of the influential factors of the disease process.

Methods: Resting state fMRI, diffusion tensor imaging, and task fMRI data in combination with clinical and demographic variables were used to represent the tumor patient population (n = 62; mean age = 51.2 yrs.) in a machine learning analysis in order to predict outcomes.

Results: A support vector machine classifier with a -test filter and recursive feature elimination predicted patient mortality (18-month interval) with 80.7% accuracy, language deficits (transient) with 74.2%, motor deficits with 71.0%, language outcomes (persistent) with 80.7% and motor outcomes with 83.9%. The most influential features of the predictors were resting fMRI connectivity, and fractional anisotropy and mean diffusivity measures in the internal capsule, brain stem and superior and inferior longitudinal fasciculi.

Conclusions: This study showed that advanced neuroimaging data with machine learning methods can potentially predict patient outcomes and reveal influential factors driving the predictions.