Temperature Profile and Adverse Outcomes After Discharge From the Intensive Care Unit.

Background: A predictive model that uses the rhythmicity of core body temperature (CBT) could be an easily accessible clinical tool to ultimately improve outcomes among critically ill patients.

Objectives: To assess the relation between the 24-hour CBT profile (CBT-24) before intensive care unit (ICU) discharge and clinical events in the step-down unit within 7 days of ICU discharge.

Methods: This retrospective cohort study in a tertiary ICU at a single center included adult patients requiring acute invasive ventilation for more than 48 hours and assessed major clinical adverse events (MCAEs) and rapid response system activations (RRSAs) within 7 days of ICU discharge (MCAE-7 and RRSA-7, respectively).

Results: The 291 enrolled patients had a median mechanical ventilation duration of 139 hours (IQR, 50-862 hours) and at admission had a median Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score of 22 (IQR, 7-42). At least 1 MCAE or RRSA occurred in 64% and 22% of patients, respectively. Independent predictors of an MCAE-7 were absence of CBT-24 rhythmicity (odds ratio, 1.78 [95% CI, 1.07-2.98]; P = .03), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score at ICU discharge (1.10 [1.00-1.21]; P = .05), male sex (1.72 [1.04-2.86]; P = .04), age (1.02 [1.00-1.04]; P = .02), and Charlson Comorbidity Index (0.87 [0.76-0.99]; P = .03). Age (1.03 [1.01-1.05]; P = .006), sepsis at ICU admission (2.02 [1.13-3.63]; P = .02), and Charlson Comorbidity Index (1.18 [1.02-1.36]; P = .02) were independent predictors of an RRSA-7.

Conclusions: Use of CBT-24 rhythmicity can assist in stratifying a patient's risk of subsequent deterioration during general care within 7 days of ICU discharge.