Serum zonulin levels in patients with liver cirrhosis: Prognostic implications.

Background: Increased gut permeability and bacterial translocation play an important role in liver cirrhosis. Zonulin is a recently recognized protein involved in the disintegration of the intestinal barrier.

Aim: To investigate possible differences in serum zonulin levels among patients with different cirrhosis stages and their potential prognostic implications.

Methods: Consecutive cirrhotic patients who attended our liver clinic were included in the study. Serum zonulin levels, clinical, radiological and biochemical data were collected at baseline. Patients who accepted participation in a regular surveillance program were followed-up for at least 12 mo.

Results: We enrolled 116 cirrhotics [mean Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score: 6.2 ± 1.6; model for end-stage liver disease score: 11 ± 3.9]. The causes of cirrhosis were viral hepatitis (39%), alcohol (30%), non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (17%), and other (14%). At baseline, 53% had decompensated cirrhosis, 48% had ascites, and 32% had history of hepatic encephalopathy. Mean zonulin levels were significantly higher in patients with CTP-B class than CTP-A class (4.2 ± 2.4 ng/dL 3.5 ± 0.9 ng/dL, = 0.038), with than without ascites ( = 0.006), and with than without history of encephalopathy ( = 0.011). Baseline serum zonulin levels were independently associated with the probability of decompensation at 1 year ( = 0.039), with an area under the receiving operating characteristic of 0.723 for predicting hepatic decompensation. Higher CTP score ( = 0.021) and portal vein diameter ( = 0.022) were independent predictors of mortality.

Conclusion: Serum zonulin levels are higher in patients with more advanced chronic liver disease and have significant prognostic value in identifying patients who will develop decompensation.