Predictive Outcomes Using Child-Turcotte-Pugh and Albumin-Bilirubin Scores in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization.

Introduction: We assessed the ability of the Child-Turcotte-Pugh score and the albumin-bilirubin grade to predict the outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients treated with transarterial chemoembolization.

Methods: We retrospectively assessed 158 patients with HCC who underwent transarterial chemoembolization. The ability of the Child-Turcotte-Pugh score and the albumin-bilirubin grade to predict patient survival was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to evaluate survival-predictive variables and the relationship between the obtained score and overall survival.

Results: Child-Turcotte-Pugh A (n = 102 (64.6%)) patients showed better overall survival than Child-Turcotte-Pugh B (n = 56 (35.4%)) patients (log-rank P = 0.017), while no significant difference in the overall survival between albumin-bilirubin ≤ 1 (n = 37 (23.4%)) and albumin-bilirubin > 1 (n = 121 (76.6%)) was detected (log-rank P = 0.140). Multivariate analysis identified alcoholic liver disease (P = 0.029), tumor size > 5 cm (P = 0.004), and serum alpha-fetoprotein > 200 ng/mL (P < 0.001) as independent predictive factors of mortality risk. A higher Child-Turcotte-Pugh score was positively associated with decreased overall survival (P = 0.031); however, a higher albumin-bilirubin grade showed marginally significant association (P = 0.088).

Conclusions: The Child-Turcotte-Pugh score precisely categorized the outcomes of HCC in patients undergoing transarterial chemoembolization, and cirrhotic patients with Child-Turcotte-Pugh A will have a better overall survival than those with Child-Turcotte-Pugh B, regardless of HCC status. These results suggest that the Child-Turcotte-Pugh classification system is a more powerful tool to predict patient outcomes than the albumin-bilirubin grading system.