Retrospective validation of 11-13 weeks' gestation ultrasound characteristics as predictive tools for twin-twin transfusion syndrome and selective intrauterine growth restriction in monochorionic diamniotic twin pregnancies.

Background: Twin to twin transfusion syndrome (TTTS) is a serious syndrome that can affect twin pregnancies involving a single placenta, impacts some of twin gestations with monochorionic diamniotic (MCDA) placentas. We validated the ultrasound characteristics of 11-13 weeks' gestation to predict TTTS and selective intrauterine growth restriction (sIUGR) in MCDA pregnancies.

Methods: We retrospectively included all of the MCDA twin pregnancies with ultrasound characteristics, including the crown-rump length (CRL), ductus venosus pulsatility index for veins (DV PIV), and nuchal translucency (NT) thickness, at 11-13 weeks' gestation, followed by mean difference and discordance comparison. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed for the comparison of values of these predictive markers for identification of MCDA pregnancies with high-risk of adverse outcomes.

Results: A total of 98 MCDA pregnancies were included in this study. Among the 98, 34 (34.7%) developed sIUGR, whereas 10 (10.2%) expressed TTTS. Significant differences in NT discordance were found among the normal, sIUGR, and TTTS groups; moreover, a significant difference was found between pregnancies with normal outcomes and sIUGR (P<0.001), normal and TTTS (P<0.001), and sIUGR and TTTS (P<0.001). Difference in NT was determined to be the best predictive marker for sIUGR [area under the curve (AUC) =0.769; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.591 to 0.992], and NT discordance was considered the best predictive marker for TTTS (AUC =0.802; 95% CI: 0.485 to 0.936).

Conclusions: Significant differences in NT discordance were found between the normal, sIUGR, and TTTS groups, while NT difference and NT discordance were identified as predictive markers for sIUGR and TTTS, respectively.