Objectives: To develop and validate an ultrasound elastography radiomics nomogram for preoperative evaluation of the axillary lymph node (ALN) burden in early-stage breast cancer.

Methods: Data of 303 patients from hospital #1 (training cohort) and 130 cases from hospital #2 (external validation cohort) between Jun 2016 and May 2019 were enrolled. Radiomics features were extracted from shear-wave elastography (SWE) and corresponding B-mode ultrasound (BMUS) images. The minimum redundancy maximum relevance and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithms were used to select ALN status-related features. Proportional odds ordinal logistic regression was performed using the radiomics signature together with clinical data, and an ordinal nomogram was subsequently developed. We evaluated its performance using C-index and calibration.

Results: SWE signature, US-reported LN status, and molecular subtype were independent risk factors associated with ALN status. The nomogram based on these variables showed good discrimination in the training (overall C-index: 0.842; 95%CI, 0.773-0.879) and the validation set (overall C-index: 0.822; 95%CI, 0.765-0.838). For discriminating between disease-free axilla (N0) and any axillary metastasis (N + (≥ 1)), it achieved a C-index of 0.845 (95%CI, 0.777-0.914) for the training cohort and 0.817 (95%CI, 0.769-0.865) for the validation cohort. The tool could also discriminate between low (N + (1-2)) and heavy metastatic ALN burden (N + (≥ 3)), with a C-index of 0.827 (95%CI, 0.742-0.913) in the training cohort and 0.810 (95%CI, 0.755-0.864) in the validation cohort.

Conclusion: The radiomics model shows favourable predictive ability for ALN staging in patients with early-stage breast cancer, which could provide incremental information for decision-making.

Key Points: • Radiomics analysis helps radiologists to evaluate the axillary lymph node status of breast cancer with accuracy. • This multicentre retrospective study showed that radiomics nomogram based on shear-wave elastography provides incremental information for risk stratification. • Treatment can be given with more precision based on the model.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00330-021-08330-wDOI Listing

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