Deep learning can predict lymph node status directly from histology in colorectal cancer.

Background: Lymph node status is a prognostic marker and strongly influences therapeutic decisions in colorectal cancer (CRC).

Objectives: The objective of the study is to investigate whether image features extracted by a deep learning model from routine histological slides and/or clinical data can be used to predict CRC lymph node metastasis (LNM).

Methods: Using histological whole slide images (WSIs) of primary tumours of 2431 patients in the DACHS cohort, we trained a convolutional neural network to predict LNM. In parallel, we used clinical data derived from the same cases in logistic regression analyses. Subsequently, the slide-based artificial intelligence predictor (SBAIP) score was included in the regression. WSIs and data from 582 patients of the TCGA cohort were used as the external test set.

Results: On the internal test set, the SBAIP achieved an area under receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) of 71.0%, the clinical classifier achieved an AUROC of 67.0% and a combination of the two classifiers yielded an improvement to 74.1%. Whereas the clinical classifier's performance remained stable on the TCGA set, performance of the SBAIP dropped to an AUROC of 61.2%. Performance of the clinical classifier depended strongly on the T stage.

Conclusion: Deep learning-based image analysis may help predict LNM of patients with CRC using routine histological slides. Combination with clinical data such as T stage might be useful. Strategies to increase performance of the SBAIP on external images should be investigated.