Causes and classification of first unprovoked seizures and newly-diagnosed epilepsy in a defined geographical area- an all-comers analysis.

Purpose: The ILAE recently updated the operational definition of epilepsy and the classifications of seizures and epilepsy incorporating aetiology into the classification framework. To date, these classifications have not been applied in any whole population incidence study.

Methods: Multiple overlapping methods of case identification were applied to a defined geographical area (population 542,868 adults and children) to identify all first unprovoked seizures and new diagnosis of epilepsy presenting during the calendar year 2017. The 2017 ILAE classification frameworks were applied. Incidence was age-standardised to the 2013 Standard European Population.

Results: The annual incidence per 100,000 population was 44 for focal epilepsy, 6.8 for generalized epilepsy and 10.9 for unclassified epilepsy (age standardized 56, 6.9 and 11.4, respectively). Focal epilepsy was diagnosed in all age groups, though incidence increased in those ≥55 years of age. Primary generalised epilepsy accounted for 10% (n = 32) of newly diagnosed epilepsy. The most frequently diagnosed aetiology was structural (54%, n = 182). In 30% (n = 102) of newly diagnosed epilepsy, aetiology was not established.

Conclusion: We report on the causes of incident first unprovoked seizures and epilepsy in accordance with recently updated ILAE definitions and classification systems employing standard diagnostic investigations. We report a higher proportion of structural aetiology than previous studies, which may reflect incorporation of imaging in aetiology classification. Despite improved access to diagnostic testing, aetiology of a large fraction of first seizures and newly diagnosed epilepsy remains unknown.