AI Article Synopsis

  • Ergodicity connects the expectation value and time average of observables, impacting how people handle risk in various environments.
  • For maximizing wealth, individuals should adjust their utility functions: linear for additive dynamics and logarithmic for multiplicative dynamics.
  • The study shows that individuals' risk aversion changes under different gamble dynamics, aligning with time optimality, suggesting a need to base decision-making theories on ergodic principles.

Article Abstract

Ergodicity describes an equivalence between the expectation value and the time average of observables. Applied to human behaviour, ergodic theories of decision-making reveal how individuals should tolerate risk in different environments. To optimize wealth over time, agents should adapt their utility function according to the dynamical setting they face. Linear utility is optimal for additive dynamics, whereas logarithmic utility is optimal for multiplicative dynamics. Whether humans approximate time optimal behavior across different dynamics is unknown. Here we compare the effects of additive versus multiplicative gamble dynamics on risky choice. We show that utility functions are modulated by gamble dynamics in ways not explained by prevailing decision theories. Instead, as predicted by time optimality, risk aversion increases under multiplicative dynamics, distributing close to the values that maximize the time average growth of in-game wealth. We suggest that our findings motivate a need for explicitly grounding theories of decision-making on ergodic considerations.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8454984PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009217DOI Listing

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