The Effect of Judgement Bias on Cue Utilization for Shot Prediction in Basketball Athletes.

Background: Concerning the judgments bias and cue utilization in basketball athletes, previous shot anticipation tasks were hard to examine in regards to whether the experts' judgement bias relies more on the cue of the player's body or the ball trajectory.

Methods: Four types of body-ball cues shots were employed: IN-IN, IN-OUT, OUT-IN, and OUT-OUT. Four temporal stages (i.e., shooting, rising, high point, and falling) were divided during a shot. Forty-two participants predicted the fate of the ball after watching the shot videos.

Results: The results suggested that for the shooting, rising, and high point phase, compared to the non-athletes, the experts provided superior predictions for IN-IN condition and OUT-IN condition but fewer accurate predictions for IN-OUT condition and OUT-OUT condition. Moreover, a higher bias toward predicting the shots as "in" for the athletes than the non-athletes under early temporal conditions was confirmed.

Conclusions: These findings strengthen the idea that the IN cues from both body information and ball trajectory could elicit the experts' judgement bias for made shots and then influence their response, thus rendered two distinct (e.g., impeding and facilitating) effects for the incongruent body-ball cues, respectively.