Wall shear stress gradient is independently associated with middle cerebral artery aneurysm development: a case-control CFD patient-specific study based on 77 patients.

Background: Previously published computational fluid dynamics (CFD) studies regarding intracranial aneurysm (IA) formation present conflicting results. Our study analysed the involvement of the combination of high wall shear stress (WSS) and a positive WSS gradient (WSSG) in IA formation.

Methods: We designed a case-control study with a selection of 38 patients with an unruptured middle cerebral artery (MCA) aneurysm and 39 non-aneurysmal controls to determine the involvement of WSS, oscillatory shear index (OSI), the WSSG and its absolute value (absWSSG) in aneurysm formation based on patient-specific CFD simulations using velocity profiles obtained from transcranial colour-coded sonography.

Results: Among the analysed parameters, only the WSSG had significantly higher values compared to the controls (11.05 vs - 14.76 [Pa/mm], P = 0.020). The WSS, absWSSG and OSI values were not significantly different between the analysed groups. Logistic regression analysis identified WSS and WSSG as significant co-predictors for MCA aneurysm formation, but only the WSSG turned out to be a significant independent prognosticator (OR: 1.009; 95% CI: 1.001-1.017; P = 0.025). Significantly more patients (23/38) in the case group had haemodynamic regions of high WSS combined with a positive WSSG near the bifurcation apex, while in the control group, high WSS was usually accompanied by a negative WSSG (14/39). From the analysis of the ROC curve for WSSG, the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.654, with the optimal cut-off value -0.37 Pa/mm. The largest AUC was recognised for combined WSS and WSSG (AUC = 0.671). Our data confirmed that aneurysms tend to form near the bifurcation apices in regions of high WSS values accompanied by positive WSSG.

Conclusions: The development of IAs is determined by an independent effect of haemodynamic factors. High WSS impacts MCA aneurysm formation, while a positive WSSG mainly promotes this process.