AI Article Synopsis

  • Early discontinuation in early-phase oncology trials impacts over one third of patients and complicates study timelines and costs; the research aims to predict successful completion of screening and dose-limiting toxicity periods using automated report analysis.
  • A machine learning model was developed using a large dataset of consultation reports to predict patient outcomes, achieving solid performance metrics (F1 score 0.80, recall 0.81) and demonstrating potential to significantly reduce screening failure rates from 39.8% to 12.8%.
  • The study highlights the importance of using machine learning with semantic analysis as a promising approach for improving patient selection in clinical trials, focusing on key terms related to disease characteristics and laboratory findings

Article Abstract

Purpose: Early discontinuation affects more than one third of patients enrolled in early-phase oncology clinical trials. Early discontinuation is deleterious both for the patient and for the study, by inflating its duration and associated costs. We aimed at predicting the successful screening and dose-limiting toxicity period completion (SSD) from automatic analysis of consultation reports.

Materials And Methods: We retrieved the consultation reports of patients included in phase I and/or phase II oncology trials for any tumor type at Gustave Roussy, France. We designed a preprocessing pipeline that transformed free text into numerical vectors and gathered them into semantic clusters. These document-based semantic vectors were then fed into a machine learning model that we trained to output a binary prediction of SSD status.

Results: Between September 2012 and July 2020, 56,924 consultation reports were used to build the dictionary and 1,858 phase I or II inclusion reports were used to train (72%), validate (14%), and test (14%) a random forest model. Preprocessing could efficiently cluster words with semantic proximity. On the unseen test cohort of 264 consultation reports, the performances of the model reached: F1 score 0.80, recall 0.81, and area under the curve 0.88. Using this model, we could have reduced the screen fail rate (including dose-limiting toxicity period) from 39.8% to 12.8% (relative risk, 0.322; 95% CI, 0.209 to 0.498; < .0001) within the test cohort. Most important semantic clusters for predictions comprised words related to hematologic malignancies, anatomopathologic features, and laboratory and imaging interpretation.

Conclusion: Machine learning with semantic conservation is a promising tool to assist physicians in selecting patients prone to achieve SSD in early-phase oncology clinical trials.

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Source
http://dx.doi.org/10.1200/CCI.21.00003DOI Listing

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