AI Article Synopsis

  • Total organic carbon (TOC) is essential for assessing water quality in rivers, impacting both human health and environmental conditions.
  • The study applied advanced hybrid models combining data pre-processing (CEEMDAN) and optimization (crow search algorithm) to enhance prediction accuracy of TOC at two stations in South Korea's Nakdong River.
  • The CEEMDAN-MARS-CSA hybrid models showed varied success, with the C-M-CSA2 model being most effective at Andong station, and the C-M-CSA3 model performing best at Changnyeong station, as measured by correlation coefficient, RMSE, and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency.

Article Abstract

Total organic carbon (TOC) has vital significance for measuring water quality in river streamflow. The detection of TOC can be considered as an important evaluation because of issues on human health and environmental indicators. This research utilized the novel hybrid models to improve the predictive accuracy of TOC at Andong and Changnyeong stations in the Nakdong River, South Korea. A data pre-processing approach (i.e., complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN)) and evolutionary optimization algorithm (i.e., crow search algorithm (CSA)) were implemented for enhancing the accuracy and robustness of standalone models (i.e., multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS) and M5Tree). Various water quality indicators (i.e., TOC, potential of Hydrogen (pH), electrical conductivity (EC), dissolved oxygen (DO), water temperature (WT), chemical oxygen demand (COD), and suspended solids (SS)) were utilized for developing the standalone and hybrid models based on three input combinations (i.e., categories 1~3). The developed models were evaluated utilizing the correlation coefficient (CC), root-mean-square error (RMSE), and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE). The CEEMDAN-MARS-CSA based on category 2 (C-M-CSA2) model (CC = 0.762, RMSE = 0.570 mg/L, and NSE = 0.520) was the most accurate for predicting TOC at Andong station, whereas the CEEMDAN-MARS-CSA based on category 3 (C-M-CSA3) model (CC = 0.900, RMSE = 0.675 mg/L, and NSE = 0.680) was the best at Changnyeong station.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10661-021-08907-4DOI Listing

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