COVID-19 virus has been spreading worldwide for more than a year. At present, the situation of the new crown pneumonia epidemic remains full of tension and uncertainty. It is of concern is that the worst outbreak in the world is in the United States. The total number of confirmed new cases of COVID-19 and the total number of new deaths in the United States have entered their second and third cyclical peaks since the White House announced the "Open America Again" guidelines on April 16, 2020, and the start of the US presidential election season in August 2020. This paper combines the generalized exponential model (EXPM) with Chebyshev polynomials to develop a special generalized growth model (GGM) to predict the total number of daily new confirmed cases and the total number of new deaths in the United States for three periods under a 14-day sensitivity regression model. In this paper, the US epidemic is divided into three periods from early January 2020 to early January 2021, and three forecasts are made for the three periods. The first two prediction periods have already occurred and the predictions match well with known results, and the third period predicts that the total number of new confirmed cases of COVID-19 and the total number of new deaths in the United States will fall to a minimum level by next July, when the supply of COVID-19 vaccine has already begun. The results suggest that the "Open America Again" policy and the events of the 2020 US presidential election season have contributed to the worsening of the COVID-19 in the United States.
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2021.05.005 | DOI Listing |
Front Psychol
January 2025
Indiana University Indianapolis, School of Health and Human Sciences, Indianapolis, IN, United States.
Background: College students significantly decrease physical activity (PA) over the course of a four-year degree, increasing the risk for chronic disease. Research shows that psychological constructs impact behavior and goal attainment. However, little is known regarding the effect of psychological variables on PA levels in students.
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January 2024
Division of Adolescent and Young Adult Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, United States.
Background: Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) affects about 13% of adolescents and is associated with substance use-related morbidity and mortality. While evidence on effective interventions to reduce alcohol use among adolescents with ADHD is limited, parent-teen communication about alcohol use has been found to be protective. Other approaches, such as educational interventions, hold promise to reduce alcohol-related harms in adolescents with ADHD.
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January 2025
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, CA, United States.
Entrepreneurial orientation (EO) and environmental sustainability (ES) has recently become the subject of extensive research. The objective of this paper is to comprehensively analyze of EO and ES by conducting a bibliometric network and systematic review analysis of over ten years of publications. A total of 390 articles were identified using the Scopus and Mendeley search engines.
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January 2025
Agricultural Economics and Agricultural Business Department, New Mexico State University, Las Cruces, NM, United States.
Introduction: This study explores the leadership competencies within the Indigenous Maya-Mam community, aiming to understand the specific skills and qualities exhibited by Maya-Mam leaders. The research seeks to address the gap in literature regarding Indigenous leadership practices, particularly focusing on how cultural values influence leadership behaviors.
Methods: Qualitative methods were employed for this study, including interviews and thematic analysis.
Front Sociol
January 2025
University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston, TX, United States.
Existing HIV-related literature affirms that Black women in the US have a low perceived risk of HIV. Yet, Black women consistently experience higher HIV incidence than other women. The ability of HIV risk perception to influence HIV prevention behaviors remains unclear.
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