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Multiple Country Approach to Improve the Test-Day Prediction of Dairy Cows' Dry Matter Intake. | LitMetric

AI Article Synopsis

  • - The study aimed to predict dairy cows' dry matter intake using various factors like lactation week, milk yield, and MIR spectrum data, analyzing a dataset of 10,711 samples from 534 cows across multiple countries.
  • - Researchers utilized partial least square (PLS) regression and a one-hidden-layer artificial neural network (ANN) to build predictive models, simplifying data complexity by projecting spectra onto the top 25 PLS factors.
  • - The models were validated using a 10 × 10-fold cross-validation approach and a country-independent validation, achieving low root mean square errors, and benchmarks were compared against the National Research Council's equation for performance assessment.

Article Abstract

We predicted dry matter intake of dairy cows using parity, week of lactation, milk yield, milk mid-infrared (MIR) spectrum, and MIR-based predictions of bodyweight, fat, protein, lactose, and fatty acids content in milk. The dataset comprised 10,711 samples of 534 dairy cows with a geographical diversity (Australia, Canada, Denmark, and Ireland). We set up partial least square (PLS) regressions with different constructs and a one-hidden-layer artificial neural network (ANN) using the highest contribution variables. In the ANN, we replaced the spectra with their projections to the 25 first PLS factors explaining 99% of the spectral variability to reduce the model complexity. Cow-independent 10 × 10-fold cross-validation (CV) achieved the best performance with root mean square errors (RMSE) of 3.27 ± 0.08 kg for the PLS regression and 3.25 ± 0.13 kg for ANN. Although the available data were significantly different, we also performed a country-independent validation (CIV) to measure the models' performance fairly. We found RMSE varying from 3.73 to 6.03 kg for PLS and 3.69 to 5.08 kg for ANN. Ultimately, based on the country-independent validation, we discussed the developed models' performance with those achieved by the National Research Council's equation.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8147833PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ani11051316DOI Listing

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