Impact of US vaccination strategy on COVID-19 wave dynamics.

Sci Rep

CP3-Origins & the Danish Institute for Advanced Study, University of Southern Denmark, Campusvej 55, 5230, Odense, Denmark.

Published: May 2021

AI Article Synopsis

  • The study uses the epidemic Renormalization Group framework to analyze the spread of COVID-19 in the US, incorporating mobility data from flight patterns and social distancing effects.
  • It concludes that current vaccination efforts alone will not significantly affect the ongoing pandemic wave, emphasizing the need for strict social distancing measures.
  • The findings suggest that a combined approach of vaccinations and social distancing is crucial for effectively managing both the current and future waves of COVID-19.

Article Abstract

We employ the epidemic Renormalization Group (eRG) framework to understand, reproduce and predict the COVID-19 pandemic diffusion across the US. The human mobility across different geographical US divisions is modelled via open source flight data alongside the impact of social distancing for each such division. We analyse the impact of the vaccination strategy on the current pandemic wave dynamics in the US. We observe that the ongoing vaccination campaign will not impact the current pandemic wave and therefore strict social distancing measures must still be enacted. To curb the current and the next waves our results indisputably show that vaccinations alone are not enough and strict social distancing measures are required until sufficient immunity is achieved. Our results are essential for a successful vaccination strategy in the US.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8155037PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-90539-2DOI Listing

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