Long-term cost of breast cancer treatment to the United States Medicare Program by stage at diagnosis.

Introduction: Breast cancer treatment includes increasingly complex and expensive treatments. Accordingly, the current estimates of the cost of breast cancer treatment are out of date.

Methods: The SEER-Medicare Data Link provided 142,837,978 paid Medicare claims from 398,148 female beneficiaries between the ages of 22 and 110 diagnosed with breast cancer between 2007 and 2016. These claims were compared with 153,071,044 claims from 443,952 Medicare beneficiaries without a cancer diagnosis. The total, fully adjudicated, amounts for each claim were summed to determine total treatment cost for each beneficiary. These costs were then aggregated by year after diagnosis and stage at diagnosis. The actuarial survival of beneficiaries with cancer was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method.

Results: Mean costs for the control group were $8,019 per year. The 10-year cost of cancer treatment in Medicare beneficiaries was directly related to stage at diagnosis and ranged from $103,573 for stage 0 cancers to $376,573 for stage 4 cancers. The highest cost occurred during the first 2 years after diagnosis, the time of the beneficiary's initial treatment. Following the first 2 years, healthcare costs remained elevated for at least 10 years after diagnosis.

Conclusions: The 10-year treatment cost of female Medicare beneficiaries with breast cancer increases with increasing stage at diagnosis. Any effective screening technology that reduces stage at diagnosis will result in significant treatment cost savings to the Medicare program.