The drivers of energy-related CO emissions in Brazil: a regional application of the STIRPAT model.

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int

Production Engineering Department, Federal University of São Carlos (UFSCar), Rod. Washington Luís - Km 235, São Carlos, SP, 13565-905, Brazil.

Published: October 2021

Since energy is one of the basic inputs for development, emerging economies should make an effort to investigate the environmental impacts of their fast economic growth. However, large emerging economies present significant regional heterogeneity that is usually uncounted for. This study uses the Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence and Technology (STIRPAT) model and regional data on the 27 Brazilian states to investigate the growth-CO nexus under distinct development stages. To perform this analysis, we divided the states into three groups according to their average annual GDP (i.e., richer, intermediate, and poorer regions). The results suggest that richer and poorer regions, particularly, present economic and demographic developments that are environmentally costly. Also, population and per capita GDP have the largest influences on CO emissions. The roles of the industrial sector and the ascending service sector are also subject to criticism. Moreover, Brazil arguably suffers from technological stagnation as its energy intensity is growing and boosting CO emissions. We discuss the policy implications of these findings and suggest a future research agenda.

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http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8123930PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-14097-wDOI Listing

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