Background: Medial patellofemoral ligament (MPFL) reconstruction is a common surgical treatment for patients with recurrent patellar instability. A variety of risk factors, such as age, trochlear dysplasia, patella alta, and increased tibial tubercle-trochlear groove (TT-TG) distance, have been identified and may lead to postoperative failure or poor outcomes.

Purpose: While a large number of risk factors have been identified, significant heterogeneity exists in evaluating and reporting these risk factors in the literature. The goal of this study was to perform a systematic review to determine risk factors associated with worse outcomes after MPFL reconstruction and their consistency of being controlled for or analyzed among studies.

Study Design: Systematic review; Level of evidence, 4.

Methods: A systematic review of the literature was performed using the MEDLINE database to identify relevant clinical outcome studies after MPFL reconstruction for recurrent patellar instability. Eligible studies were evaluated for risk factors that were associated with MPFL failure, defined as recurrent instability or lack of improvement on patient-reported outcome (PRO) scores. Each study was then evaluated for inclusion of these risk factors.

Results: Ten studies were included in the final analysis, comprising 1287 knees from 1275 patients who underwent isolated MPFL reconstruction. Of these 10 studies, 8 defined outcomes based on PROs and 3 defined outcomes based on postoperative recurrent instability (1 study included both outcomes). In the PRO failure group, 12 risk factors were found across all studies: trochlear dysplasia, trochlear bump height, elevated TT-TG, patellar tilt, hyperlaxity, age at first dislocation, age at surgery, body mass index, bilateral symptoms, WARPS/STAID score (weak atraumatic, risky anatomy, pain, and subluxation/strong, traumatic, anatomy normal, instability, and dislocation), femoral tunnel malposition, and femoral tunnel widening. In the recurrent instability failure group, 7 risk factors were found across all studies: trochlear dysplasia, bump height, patella alta, higher sulcus angle, higher congruence angle, preoperative J sign, and femoral tunnel malposition. Trochlear dysplasia and femoral tunnel malposition were consistently cited in several studies as risk factors for worse PROs and higher rates of recurrent instability. Patella alta was indicated as a significant risk factor for recurrent instability in 1 of 2 studies analyzing postoperative instability failures and was not associated with worse PROs in any of the studies analyzed. Similarly, elevated TT-TG distance was not a significant risk factor in any of the studies that analyzed recurrent instability as the failure endpoint.

Conclusion: While various risk factors are postulated to affect outcomes after MPFL reconstruction, there remains inconsistency within the literature regarding the inclusion of all risk factors in a given analysis. Furthermore, the significance of these risk factors varies among studies in terms of whether they affect postoperative outcomes. We found that more severe trochlear dysplasia (types C and D) and femoral tunnel malposition (>10 mm from Schöttle's point) appear to have the most consistent effect on producing higher rates of recurrent dislocation as well as worse PROs. Despite this, the role of concomitant bony procedures to adjust certain pathoanatomic risk factors in addition to MPFL reconstruction remains unknown. Future high-level studies must be conducted that respect the multifactorial nature of patellar instability and should analyze all risk factors (demographic, anatomic, and radiographic) reported to affect outcomes.

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