Advanced liver fibrosis and the metabolic syndrome in a primary care setting.

Aims: The fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) are noninvasive and accessible methods for assessing advanced liver fibrosis risk in primary care. We evaluated the distribution of FIB-4 and NFS scores in primary care patients with clinical signals for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

Materials And Methods: This retrospective cohort study of electronic record data between 2007 and 2018 included adults with at least one abnormal aminotransferase and no known (non-NAFLD) liver disease. We calculated patient-level FIB-4 and NFS scores, the proportion of patients with mean values exceeding advanced fibrosis thresholds (indeterminate risk: FIB-4 > 1.3, NFS > -1.455; high-risk: FIB-4 > 2.67, NFS > 0.676), and the proportion of patients with a NAFLD International Classification of Diseases-9/10 code. Logistic regression models evaluated the associations of metabolic syndrome (MetS) components with elevated FIB-4 and NFS scores.

Results: The cohort included 6506 patients with a median of 6 (interquartile range: 3-13) FIB-4 and NFS scores per patient. Of these patients, 81% had at least two components of MetS, 29% had mean FIB-4 and NFS scores for indeterminate fibrosis risk, and 11% had either mean FIB-4 or NFS scores exceeding the high advanced fibrosis risk thresholds. Regression models identified associations of low high-density lipoprotein, hyperglycemia, Black race and male gender with high-risk FIB-4 and NFS values. Only 5% of patients had existing diagnoses for NAFLD identified.

Conclusions: Many primary care patients have FIB-4 and NFS scores concerning for advanced fibrosis, but rarely a diagnosis of NAFLD. Elevated FIB-4 and NFS scores may provide signals for further clinical evaluation of liver disease in primary care settings.