AI Article Synopsis
- SARS-CoV-2, the virus causing COVID-19, has resulted in over 2 million deaths globally as of January 2021.
- A modified epidemiological model was used to predict how the virus will spread in France based on different public health strategies, including vaccination.
- Predictions suggest that slowly lifting lockdowns could lead to virus levels similar to pre-lockdown times, but a strong vaccination campaign combined with ongoing health measures can help reduce virus spread and lessen hospital strain.
Article Abstract
The spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and the resulting disease COVID-19 has killed over 2 million people as of 22 January 2021. We have used a modified susceptible, infected, recovered epidemiological model to predict how the spread of the virus in France will vary depending on the public health strategies adopted, including anti-COVID-19 vaccination. Our prediction model indicates that the French authorities' adoption of a gradual release from lockdown could lead in March 2021 to a virus prevalence similar to that before lockdown. However, a massive vaccination campaign initiated in January 2021 and the continuation of public health measures over several months could curb the spread of virus and thus relieve the load on hospitals.
Download full-text PDF |
Source |
|---|---|
| http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8250046 | PMC |
| http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/rmv.2224 | DOI Listing |
Publication Analysis
Top Keywords
Similar Publications
Want AI Summaries of new PubMed Abstracts delivered to your In-box?
Enter search terms and have AI summaries delivered each week - change queries or unsubscribe any time!