Can robot-assisted total knee arthroplasty be a cost-effective procedure? A Markov decision analysis.

Background: Total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is a frequently and increasingly performed surgery in the treatment of disabling knee osteoarthritis. The rising number of procedures and related revisions pose an increasing economic burden on health care systems. In an attempt to lower the revision rate due to component malalignment and soft tissue imbalance in TKA, robotic assistance (RA) has been introduced in the operating theatre. The primary objective of this study is to provide the results of a theoretical, preliminary cost-effectiveness analysis of RA TKA.

Methods: A Markov state-transition model was designed to model the health status of sixty-seven-year-old patients in need of TKA due to primary osteoarthritis over a twenty-year period following their knee joint replacement. Transitional probabilities and independent variables were extracted from existing literature.

Results: The value attributed to the utility both for primary and revision surgery has the biggest impact on the ICER, followed by the rate of successful primary surgery and the cost of RA-technology. Only 2.18% of the samples yielded from the probabilistic sensitivity analysis proved to be cost-effective (threshold set at $50000/QALY). A calculated surgical volume of at least 253 cases per robot per year is needed to prove cost-effective taking the predetermined parameter values into account.

Conclusion: Based upon transitional probabilities and independent variables derived from existing studies, RA TKA may be cost-effective at a surgical volume of 253 cases per robot per year when compared to conventional TKA.