In this paper we consider ant-eating pangolin as a possible source of the novel corona virus (COVID-19) and propose a new mathematical model describing the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic. Our new model is based on the hypotheses that the pangolin and human populations are divided into measurable partitions and also incorporates pangolin bootleg market or reservoir. First we study the important mathematical properties like existence, boundedness and positivity of solution of the proposed model. After finding the threshold quantity for the underlying model, the possible stationary states are explored. We exploit linearization as well as Lyapanuv function theory to exhibit local stability analysis of the model in terms of the threshold quantity. We then discuss the global stability analyses of the newly introduced model and found conditions for its stability in terms of the basic reproduction number. It is also shown that for certain values of , our model exhibits a backward bifurcation. Numerical simulations are performed to verify and support our analytical findings.
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http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7892304 | PMC |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.103913 | DOI Listing |
Results Phys
April 2021
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, College of Science, Taif University, P.O. Box 11099, Taif 21944, Saudi Arabia.
In this paper we consider ant-eating pangolin as a possible source of the novel corona virus (COVID-19) and propose a new mathematical model describing the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic. Our new model is based on the hypotheses that the pangolin and human populations are divided into measurable partitions and also incorporates pangolin bootleg market or reservoir. First we study the important mathematical properties like existence, boundedness and positivity of solution of the proposed model.
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