Introduction: We evaluated the performance of Bayesian vector autoregressive (BVAR) and Holt's models to forecast the weekly COVID-19 reported cases in six units of a large hospital.
Methods: Cases reported from epidemiologic weeks (EW) 12-37 were selected as the training period, and from EW 38-41 as the test period.
Results: The models performed well in forecasting cases within one or two weeks following the end of the time-series, but forecasts for a more distant period were inaccurate.
Conclusions: Both models offered reasonable performance in very short-term forecasts for confirmed cases of COVID-19.
Download full-text PDF |
Source |
|---|---|
| http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7891562 | PMC |
| http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0037-8682-0762-2020 | DOI Listing |
Publication Analysis
Top Keywords
Similar Publications
Short-Term Outcomes of a Novel Hybrid Technique, Minimally Invasive Laparoscopic and Robotic Surgery (MILAR) Using the da Vinci SP System for Gastric Cancer.
Asian J Endosc Surg
December 2024
Department of Gastric Surgery, National Cancer Center Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.
Background: Robotic surgery may have shown advantages over conventional laparoscopic surgery, but the da Vinci SP system, which utilizes a single incision, has had limited use in gastric cancer surgery. This study aims to evaluate the short-term outcomes of a novel hybrid technique, minimally invasive laparoscopic and robotic surgery (MILAR), with the da Vinci SP system for gastric cancer.
Materials And Methods: This retrospective study reviewed 23 consecutive patients who underwent gastrectomy for gastric cancer using the MILAR technique with the da Vinci SP system between May and October 2024.
Short-term outcomes of vessel-oriented D2 and D3 lymph node dissection for sigmoid colon cancer.
Tech Coloproctol
December 2024
Department of Experimental Medicine, University of Salento, Lecce, Italy.
Background: Level of lymph nodes dissection (LND) and inferior mesenteric artery (IMA) ligation is still matter of debate of radical resection of colorectal cancer. This study aims to compare the short-term outcome of three different surgical techniques to treat sigmoid cancer: low ligation (LL) of the IMA with D3-LND, low IMA ligation with D2-LND, and high ligation (HL) of the IMA with D3-LND.
Methods: Patients affected by sigmoid colon cancer, who underwent radical resection with three different techniques (LL and D3-LND Group A, HL and D3-LND Group B, and LL with D2 LND- Group C), were included.
Assessment of peri- and post-operative outcomes following apical prolapse repair in octogenarians: A retrospective cohort study.
J Minim Invasive Gynecol
December 2024
Division of Urogynecology, University of Chicago Pritzker School of Medicine, NorthShore University HealthSystem, Skokie, IL, USA.
Objective: To assess the risk of postoperative complications and unanticipated healthcare encounters in octogenarians compared to younger patients following apical prolapse repair.
Design: Retrospective cohort study.
Settings: University-affiliated academic tertiary hospital center.
Development of a Self-Deploying Extra-Aortic Compression Device for Medium-Term Hemodynamic Stabilization: A Feasibility Study.
Adv Sci (Weinh)
December 2024
Graduate School of Biomedical Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, and Tyree Institute of Health Engineering (IHealthE), UNSW Sydney, Kensington Campus, Sydney, NSW, 2052, Australia.
Hemodynamic stabilization is crucial in managing acute cardiac events, where compromised blood flow can lead to severe complications and increased mortality. Conditions like decompensated heart failure (HF) and cardiogenic shock require rapid and effective hemodynamic support. Current mechanical assistive devices, such as intra-aortic balloon pumps (IABP) and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO), offer temporary stabilization but are limited to short-term use due to risks associated with prolonged blood contact.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFThe Influence of Physiological Blood Clot on Osteoblastic Cell Response to a Chitosan-Based 3D Scaffold-A Pilot Investigation.
Biomimetics (Basel)
December 2024
Department of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery and Periodontology, School of Dentistry of Ribeirão Preto, University of São Paulo, Avenida Do Café-Subsetor Oeste-11 (N-11), Ribeirão Preto 14040-904, SP, Brazil.
Background: The use of ex vivo assays associated with biomaterials may allow the short-term visualization of a specific cell type response inserted in a local microenvironment. Blood is the first component to come into contact with biomaterials, providing blood clot formation, being substantial in new tissue formation. Thus, this research investigated the physiological blood clot (PhC) patterns formed in 3D scaffolds (SCAs), based on chitosan and 20% beta-tricalcium phosphate and its effect on osteogenesis.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFWant AI Summaries of new PubMed Abstracts delivered to your In-box?
Enter search terms and have AI summaries delivered each week - change queries or unsubscribe any time!