Effects of herd fertility on the economics of sexed semen in a high-producing, pasture-based dairy production system.

This study used a stochastic simulation model to estimate the potential economic benefit of using sexed semen in heifers only and in heifers and lactating cows in a high-producing, pasture-based system under 3 fertility scenarios. Three breeding strategies were modeled: (1) only heifers inseminated with sexed semen and cows inseminated with conventional unsexed semen (SSH); (2) both heifers and cows inseminated with sexed semen (SSHC); and (3) a reference scenario in which all females were inseminated with conventional, unsexed semen (CONV). Each scenario was evaluated under 3 herd fertility states: high (HF), medium (MF), and low (LF), which, under the reference scenario, corresponded to herd replacement rates of 21, 25, and 31%, respectively. The model estimated the economic profit, including the net present value of the genetic gain from selection intensity. The economic return from adoption of sexed semen strategies declined, with reduced levels of baseline herd fertility turning negative in the LF state. The mean (±SD) sexed semen advantage (SSA) per cow for HF-SSH, MF-SSH, and LF-SSH scenarios were €30.61 ± 8.98, €27.45 ± 7.19, and €14.69 ± 11.06, respectively. However, the SSA per cow for HF-SSHC, MF-SSHC, and LF-SSHC scenarios were €49.14 ± 15.43, €18.46 ± 30.08, and -€19.30 ± 57.11. The range in economic profit for SSA for SSH was most sensitive to calf prices in HF-SSH and the pregnancy rate of sexed semen as a percentage of conventional unsorted semen in MF-SSH and LF-SSH. The range in economic profit for SSA for SSHC scenarios was most sensitive to the pregnancy rate of sexed semen as a percentage of conventional unsorted semen in HF-SSHC, MF-SSHC, and LF-SSHC. This study highlights the effect of baseline herd fertility state on the financial advantage of adopting sexed semen in a pasture-based dairy production system.