High admission blood glucose independently predicts poor prognosis in COVID-19 patients: A systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis.

Diabetes Res Clin Pract

Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Internal Medicine, Dr. Cipto Mangunkusumo General Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia; Metabolic, Cardiovascular and Aging Cluster, The Indonesian Medical Education and Research Institute, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia. Electronic address:

Published: January 2021

AI Article Synopsis

  • - The study aimed to explore how admission blood glucose levels (both fasting and random) can predict COVID-19 outcomes such as mortality and severity of the disease.
  • - An analysis of 35 studies involving over 14,500 patients found a significant link between higher admission fasting blood glucose (FBG) levels and worse COVID-19 prognosis, specifically showing a 33% increased risk of severity for each 1 mmol/L increase in FBG.
  • - Although high-quality evidence supported the FBG association with severity, the findings for random blood glucose (RBG) were less conclusive due to fewer studies, indicating a need for more research on both measures' prognostic values in COVID-19.

Article Abstract

Aims: To investigate the prognostic value of admission blood glucose (BG) in predicting COVID-19 outcomes, including poor composite outcomes (mortality/severity), mortality, and severity.

Methods: Eligible studies evaluating the association between admission fasting BG (FBG) and random BG (RBG) levels with COVID-19 outcomes were included and assessed for risk of bias with the Quality in Prognosis Studies tool. Random-effects dose-response meta-analysis was conducted to investigate potential linear or non-linear exposure-response gradient.

Results: The search yielded 35 studies involving a total of 14,502 patients. We discovered independent association between admission FBG and poor COVID-19 prognosis. Furthermore, we demonstrated non-linear relationship between admission FBG and severity (P < 0.001), where each 1 mmol/L increase augmented the risk of severity by 33% (risk ratio 1.33 [95% CI: 1.26-1.40]). Albeit exhibiting similar trends, study scarcity limited the evidence strength on the independent prognostic value of admission RBG. GRADE assessment yielded high-quality evidence for the association between admission FBG and COVID-19 severity, and moderate-quality evidence for its association with mortality and poor outcomes.

Conclusion: High admission FBG level independently predicted poor COVID-19 prognosis. Further research to confirm the prognostic value of admission RBG and to ascertain the estimated dose-response risk between admission FBG and COVID-19 severity are required.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7725108PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.diabres.2020.108561DOI Listing

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