Factors such as seasonality and spatial connectivity affect the spread of an infectious disease. Accounting for these factors in infectious disease models provides useful information on the times and locations of greatest risk for disease outbreaks. In this investigation, stochastic multi-patch epidemic models are formulated with seasonal and demographic variability. The stochastic models are used to investigate the probability of a disease outbreak when infected individuals are introduced into one or more of the patches. Seasonal variation is included through periodic transmission and dispersal rates. Multi-type branching process approximation and application of the backward Kolmogorov differential equation lead to an estimate for the probability of a disease outbreak. This estimate is also periodic and depends on the time, the location, and the number of initial infected individuals introduced into the patch system as well as the magnitude of the transmission and dispersal rates and the connectivity between patches. Examples are given for seasonal transmission and dispersal in two and three patches.
Download full-text PDF |
Source |
|---|---|
| http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7684574 | PMC |
| http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-020-00831-x | DOI Listing |
Publication Analysis
Top Keywords
Similar Publications
Acaricidal and insecticidal activities of entomopathogenic nematodes combined with rosemary essential oil and bacterium-synthesized silver nanoparticles against camel tick, and wax moth, .
PeerJ
January 2025
Department of Biology, College of Science, Taif University, Taif, Saudi Arabia.
An innovative approach to ticks and insect pests management is necessary to mitigate the challenges posed by the indiscriminate use of chemical pesticides, which can lead to resistance development and environmental pollution. Despite their great potential, biological control agents have significant manufacturing, application, and stability limitations. Currently, using phytochemicals, biosynthesized nanoparticles, and bioagents to get rid of arthropods might be a good alternative that would make farmers less worried about residues and resistance.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFMesoporous Silica Nanoparticle Rigid Anchor Attached Pt Complex for Catalytic H/D Exchange of Aromatic Substrates.
Inorg Chem
January 2025
Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland 20742, United States.
A Pt(II) aqua complex supported by mesoporous silica nanoparticle (MSN)-immobilized sulfonated CNN pincer ligand featuring a rigid SiO tether was prepared. This hybrid material was tested as a catalyst in H/D exchange reactions of C(sp)-H bonds of selected aromatic substrates and DO-2,2,2-trifluoroethanol- (TFE-) mixtures or CDCOD acting as a source of exchangeable deuterium. The catalyst immobilization served as a means to not only enable the catalyst's recyclability but also minimize the coordination of sulfonate groups and the metal centers originating from different catalyst's moieties that would preserve reactive Pt(OH) fragments needed for catalytic C-H bond activation.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFSelective toxicity of a novel antimicrobial peptide Acidocin 4356 against Pseudomonas aeruginosa and Acinetobacter baumannii in human cell-based in vitro infection models.
Sci Rep
January 2025
Department of Energy & Environmental Biotechnology, National Institute of Genetic Engineering and Biotechnology (NIGEB), Tehran, Iran.
Prior studies examined Acidocin 4356's antibacterial and antivirulence effects against Pseudomonas aeruginosa, including cell membrane penetration abilities. Building on prior research, an in-vitro co-culture of human cells was established to evaluate the selectivity of Acidocin (ACD) by concurrently cultivating human cells and bacterial pathogens. This study evaluated the antibacterial effectiveness of ACD against Acinetobacter baumannii and Pseudomonas aeruginosa.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFHost Specificity and Geographic Dispersion Shape Virome Diversity in Rhinolophus Bats.
Mol Ecol
January 2025
Guangdong Key Laboratory of Animal Conservation and Resource Utilization, Institute of Zoology, Guangdong Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Rhinolophus bats have been identified as natural reservoirs for viruses with global health implications, including severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronaviruses (SARSr-CoV) and swine acute diarrhoea syndrome-related coronavirus (SADSr-CoV). In this study, we characterised the individual viromes of 603 bats to systematically investigate the diversity, abundance and geographic distribution of viral communities within R. affinis, R.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFChanges in microbiome composition during ontogeny and dispersal of the coral boring sponge Thoosa mismalolli.
Sci Rep
January 2025
Laboratorio de Bioinformática Microbiana, Programa Académico de Ingeniería en Biotecnología, Universidad Politécnica de Sinaloa, Carretera Municipal Libre Km. 3 Mazatlán-Higueras, 82199, Mazatlán, Sinaloa, Mexico.
Dispersal is an important life history trait that plays a key role in the demography and evolution of species. We employed a combined approach of DNA sequencing and transmission electron microscopy to examine the changes in the microbiome during the ontogeny and dispersal of the coral-excavating sponge Thoosa mismalolli. The results show that sponge can acquired their associated bacteria via both vertical (VT) and horizontal transmission (HT).
View Article and Find Full Text PDFWant AI Summaries of new PubMed Abstracts delivered to your In-box?
Enter search terms and have AI summaries delivered each week - change queries or unsubscribe any time!