A second wave pandemic constitutes an imminent threat to society, with a potentially immense toll in terms of human lives and a devastating economic impact. We employ the epidemic Renormalisation Group (eRG) approach to pandemics, together with the first wave data for COVID-19, to efficiently simulate the dynamics of disease transmission and spreading across different European countries. The framework allows us to model, not only inter and extra European border control effects, but also the impact of social distancing for each country. We perform statistical analyses averaging on different level of human interaction across Europe and with the rest of the World. Our results are neatly summarised as an animation reporting the time evolution of the first and second waves of the European COVID-19 pandemic. Our temporal playbook of the second wave pandemic can be used by governments, financial markets, the industries and individual citizens, to efficiently time, prepare and implement local and global measures.
Download full-text PDF |
Source |
|---|---|
| http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7511360 | PMC |
| http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-72611-5 | DOI Listing |
Publication Analysis
Top Keywords
Similar Publications
Strong turbulent flow in the subauroral region in the Antarctic can deteriorate satellite-based navigation signals.
Sci Rep
January 2025
Department of Physics, University of Oslo, P.O. Box 1048 Blindern, 0316, Oslo, Norway.
In the subauroral zone at the boundary of the auroral oval in the evening and night hours during geomagnetic disturbances, a narrow (about 1°-2°) and extended structure (several hours in longitude) is formed. It is known as a polarization jet (PJ) or the subauroral ion drift (SAID). The PJ/SAID is a fast westward ion drift and is one of the main signatures of a geomagnetic disturbance in the subauroral ionosphere at the altitudes of the F-layer, when the geomagnetic AE index reaches more than 500 nT.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFDesigning rare earth borates as UV nonlinear optical crystals exhibiting strong second-harmonic generation responses.
Chem Commun (Camb)
January 2025
Tianjin Key Laboratory of Functional Crystal Materials, Institute of Functional Crystal, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin 300384, China.
Two new rare earth borate NLO crystals, KNaSrYBO and RbBaLuBO, were successfully designed and synthesized, which feature NLO-active [BO] groups and [Y/LuO] polyhedra. They exhibit notably short UV absorption cutoff edges below 200 nm, wide band gaps exceeding 6.2 eV, and strong second-harmonic generation intensities that are comparable to KDP.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFAssociation of rapid eye movement sleep latency with multimodal biomarkers of Alzheimer's disease.
Alzheimers Dement
January 2025
Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA.
Introduction: Sleep disturbances are associated with Alzheimer's disease (AD) and Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (ADRD), but the relationship between sleep architecture, particularly rapid eye movement (REM) sleep, and AD/ADRD biomarkers remains unclear.
Methods: We enrolled 128 adults (64 with Alzheimer's disease, 41 with mild cognitive impairment [MCI], and 23 with normal cognition [NC]), mean age 70.8 ± 9.
The Mediating Role of Cognitive Reappraisal on Bedtime Procrastination and Sleep Quality in Higher Educational Context: A Three-Wave Longitudinal Study.
Nat Sci Sleep
January 2025
Department of Applied Psychology, Faculty of Social Sciences, The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Bahawalpur, 63100, Pakistan.
Background: While bedtime procrastination is commonly associated with adverse outcomes such as poor sleep quality, the mechanisms mediating these effects remain underexplored. Grounded in the Self-Regulation Model of Behavior and the Transactional Model of Stress and Coping, this study examines the mediating role of cognitive reappraisal in the relationship between bedtime procrastination and sleep quality over time.
Methods: Employing a longitudinal design, the study examined the progression of bedtime procrastination, cognitive reappraisal, and sleep quality among university students at three distinct time points throughout an academic semester.
Epidemiologic threats and outcome of evolving COVID-19-associated mucormycosis from a referral hospital in Egypt.
J Infect Dev Ctries
December 2024
Chest Dpt., Ahmed Maher Teaching Hospital, GOTHI, Cairo, Egypt.
Introduction: The present study aimed to explore the epidemiologic threats and factors associated with the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-associated mucormycosis (CAM) epidemic that emerged in Egypt during the second COVID-19 wave. The study also aimed to explore the diagnostic features and the role of surgical interventions of CAM on the outcome of the disease in a central referral hospital.
Methodology: The study included 64 CAM patients from a referral hospital for CAM and a similar number of matched controls from COVID-19 patients who did not develop CAM.
Want AI Summaries of new PubMed Abstracts delivered to your In-box?
Enter search terms and have AI summaries delivered each week - change queries or unsubscribe any time!