AI Article Synopsis

  • Monitoring COVID-19 infections and deaths in Brazil remains controversial as calls for easing social distancing grow, despite no consistent evidence of reduced cases.
  • A segmented regression analysis revealed a mostly exponential rise in COVID-19 cases across Brazilian capital cities, with only 8 out of 20 cities showing a significant decline in cases later on.
  • The findings suggest that any relaxation of restrictions should be approached with caution due to the potential for a resurgence in infections.

Article Abstract

Introduction: Monitoring coronavirus disease (COVID-19)-related infections and deaths in Brazil is controversial, with increasing pressure to ease social distance measures. However, no evidence of a sustained, widespread fall in cases exists.

Methods: We used segmented (joinpoint) regression analysis to describe the behavior of COVID-19 infections in Brazilian capital cities.

Results: All capitals showed an exponential or a near-exponential increase in cases through May. A decline in reported cases was subsequently noted in 20 cities but was only significant for 8 (29.6%) and was followed in two by a renewed increase.

Conclusions: Caution is warranted when considering the relaxation of restrictions.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7508200PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0037-8682-0469-2020DOI Listing

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