Surgical indication for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm without mural nodule ≥5 mm.

Background: In intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm, a mural nodule ≥5 mm is an important predictor of malignancy. Surgical indication is less clear in cases of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm without mural nodule ≥5 mm. This is a retrospective study evaluating predictors of high-grade dysplasia or invasive intraductal papillary mucinous carcinoma for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm without mural nodule ≥5 mm.

Methods: Among consecutive patients who underwent surgery for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm between 1999 and 2018, 174 had intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm with mural nodule ≥5 mm (mural nodule[+] ≥5 mm group). The remaining 155 patients had intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm but did not have mural nodule ≥5 mm: 24 patients with mural nodule <5 mm (mural nodule[+] <5 mm group) and 131 patients without mural nodule (mural nodule[-] group). We investigated predictors of high-grade dysplasia or invasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm in cases of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm without mural nodule ≥5 mm.

Results: The frequency of high-grade dysplasia invasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm was significantly higher in the mural nodule(+) ≥5 mm group (87.4%) than in the mural nodule(+) <5 mm group (37.5%, P < .001) and mural nodule(-) group (45.0%, P < .001). However, frequency was not significantly different between mural nodule(+) <5 mm and mural nodule(-) groups (P = .494). Multivariate analysis showed three independent predictors of high-grade dysplasia invasive intraductal papillary mucinous carcinoma in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm without mural nodule ≥5 mm: branch cyst ≥40 mm (P = .038, odds ratio 3.704; 95% confidence interval, 1.075-12.821), positive cytology of pancreatic juice (P = .039, odds ratio 16.792; 95% confidence interval, 1.152-244.744), and carcinoembryonic antigen in pancreatic juice ≥30 mg/mL (P < .001, odds ratio 14.925; 95% confidence interval, 4.525-50.0).

Conclusion: For cases of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm without mural nodule ≥5 mm, large cysts, positive cytology of the pancreatic juice, and high levels of carcinoembryonic antigen in pancreatic juice may be useful to determine surgical indication, although further studies are needed to confirm these results.