We discuss an approach of robust fitting on non-linear regression models, in both frequentist and Bayesian approaches, which can be employed to model and predict the contagion dynamics of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Italy. The focus is on the analysis of epidemic data using robust dose-response curves, but the functionality is applicable to arbitrary non-linear regression models.

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http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7435544PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sta4.309DOI Listing

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