Calibrating Gompertz in reverse: What is your longevity-risk-adjusted global age?

Insur Math Econ

Schulich School of Business, York University, Canada.

Published: May 2020

This paper develops a computational framework for inverting Gompertz-Makeham mortality hazard rates, consistent with compensation laws of mortality for heterogeneous populations, to define a (L-RaG) age. To illustrate its salience and possible applications, the paper calibrates and presents L-RaG values using country data from the Human Mortality Database (HMD). Among other things, the author demonstrates that when properly benchmarked, the age of a 55-year-old Swedish male is 48, whereas a 55-year-old Russian male is closer in age to 67. The paper also discusses the connection between the proposed age and the related concept of age, from the medical and gerontology literature. Practically speaking, in a world of growing mortality heterogeneity, the L-RaG age could be used for pension and retirement policy. In the language of behavioral finance and economics, a salient metric that adjusts chronological age for longevity risk might help capture the public's attention, educate them about lifetime uncertainty and induce many of them to take action - such as working longer and/or retiring later.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7339829PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2020.03.009DOI Listing

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