What is optimal in optimal inference?

Curr Opin Behav Sci

Department of Neuroscience, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104.

Published: October 2019

AI Article Synopsis

  • Bayesian statistical learning helps identify the best models from noisy data by using assumptions to narrow down possible solutions.
  • Both animals and machines deal with similar issues of model selection to understand hidden properties and predict future events.
  • This review discusses how intelligent agents tackle these challenges, emphasizing the influence of information and resource constraints, and introduces a framework to evaluate optimal decisions based on accuracy and cost.

Article Abstract

Inferring hidden structure from noisy observations is a problem addressed by Bayesian statistical learning, which aims to identify optimal models of the process that generated the observations given assumptions that constrain the space of potential solutions. Animals and machines face similar "model-selection" problems to infer latent properties and predict future states of the world. Here we review recent attempts to explain how intelligent agents address these challenges and how their solutions relate to Bayesian principles. We focus on how constraints on available information and resources affect inference and propose a general framework that uses benefit(accuracy) and accuracy(cost) curves to assess optimality under these constraints.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7441787PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cobeha.2019.07.008DOI Listing

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