Multiplatform molecular test performance in indeterminate thyroid nodules.

Background: Approximately 25% of thyroid nodule fine-needle aspirates (FNAs) have cytology that is indeterminate for malignant disease. Accurate risk stratification of these FNAs with ancillary testing would reduce unnecessary thyroid surgery.

Methods: We evaluated the performance of an ancillary multiplatform test (MPTX) that has three diagnostic categories (negative, moderate, and positive). MPTX includes the combination of a mutation panel (ThyGeNEXT®) and a microRNA risk classifier (ThyraMIR®). A blinded, multicenter study was performed using consensus histopathology diagnosis among three pathologists to validate test performance.

Results: Unanimous consensus diagnosis was reached in 197 subjects with indeterminate thyroid nodules; 36% had disease. MPTX had 95% sensitivity (95% CI,86%-99%) and 90% specificity (95% CI,84%-95%) for disease in prevalence adjusted nodules with Bethesda III and IV cytology. Negative MPTX results ruledout disease with 97% negative predictive value (NPV; 95% CI,91%-99%) at a 30% disease prevalence, while positive MPTX results ruledin high risk disease with 75% positive predictive value (PPV; 95% CI,60%-86%). Such results are expected in four out of five Bethesda III and IV nodules tested, including RAS positive nodules in which the microRNA classifier was useful in rulingin disease. 90% of mutation panel false positives were due to analytically verified RAS mutations detected in benign adenomas. Moderate MPTX results had a moderate rate of disease (39%, 95% CI,23%-54%), primarily due to RAS mutations, wherein the possibility of disease could not be excluded.

Conclusions: Our results emphasize that decisions for surgery should not solely be based on RAS or RAS-like mutations. MPTX informs management decisions while accounting for these challenges.