Heuristics and optimal solutions to the breadth-depth dilemma.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A

Department of Neuroscience, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455.

Published: August 2020

In multialternative risky choice, we are often faced with the opportunity to allocate our limited information-gathering capacity between several options before receiving feedback. In such cases, we face a natural trade-off between breadth-spreading our capacity across many options-and depthgaining more information about a smaller number of options. Despite its broad relevance to daily life, including in many naturalistic foraging situations, the optimal strategy in the breadth-depth trade-off has not been delineated. Here, we formalize the breadth-depth dilemma through a finite-sample capacity model. We find that, if capacity is small (∼10 samples), it is optimal to draw one sample per alternative, favoring breadth. However, for larger capacities, a sharp transition is observed, and it becomes best to deeply sample a very small fraction of alternatives, which roughly decreases with the square root of capacity. Thus, ignoring most options, even when capacity is large enough to shallowly sample all of them, is a signature of optimal behavior. Our results also provide a rich casuistic for metareasoning in multialternative decisions with bounded capacity using close-to-optimal heuristics.

Download full-text PDF

Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7443877PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2004929117DOI Listing

Publication Analysis

Top Keywords

breadth-depth dilemma
8
capacity
7
heuristics optimal
4
optimal solutions
4
solutions breadth-depth
4
dilemma multialternative
4
multialternative risky
4
risky choice
4
choice faced
4
faced opportunity
4

Similar Publications

Want AI Summaries of new PubMed Abstracts delivered to your In-box?

Enter search terms and have AI summaries delivered each week - change queries or unsubscribe any time!