AI Article Synopsis

  • A nomogram model was developed to combine CT radiomic features and TNM staging for better risk stratification of thymic epithelial tumors (TETs).
  • A study involving 136 patients utilized LASSO regression to identify key radiomic features, resulting in a predictive model that outperformed traditional methods in risk assessment.
  • The model demonstrated higher accuracy in risk stratification, with significant differences in patient outcomes, thus potentially enhancing prognosis predictions for TETs.

Article Abstract

Objectives: To construct and validate a nomogram model that integrated the CT radiomic features and the TNM staging for risk stratification of thymic epithelial tumors (TETs).

Methods: A total of 136 patients with pathology-confirmed TETs who underwent CT examination were collected from two institutions. According to the WHO pathological classification criteria, patients were classified into low-risk and high-risk groups. The TNM staging was determined in terms of the 8th edition AJCC/UICC staging criteria. LASSO regression was performed to extract the optimal features correlated to risk stratification among the 704 radiomic features calculated. A nomogram model was constructed by combining the Radscore and the TNM staging. The clinical performance was evaluated by ROC analysis, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). The Kaplan-Meier (KM) analysis was employed for survival analysis.

Results: Five optimal features identified by LASSO regression were employed to calculate the Radscore correlated to risk stratification. The nomogram model showed a better performance in both training cohort (AUC = 0.84, 95%CI 0.75-0.91) and external validation cohort (AUC = 0.79, 95%CI 0.69-0.88). The calibration curve and DCA analysis indicated a better accuracy of the nomogram model for risk stratification than either Radscore or the TNM staging alone. The KM analysis showed a significant difference between the two groups stratified by the nomogram model (p = 0.02).

Conclusions: A nomogram model that integrated the radiomic signatures and the TNM staging could serve as a reliable model of risk stratification in predicting the prognosis of patients with TETs.

Key Points: • The radiomic features could be associated with the TET pathophysiology. • TNM staging and Radscore could independently stratify the risk of TETs. • The nomogram model is more objective and more comprehensive than previous methods.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00330-020-07100-4DOI Listing

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