With rapid development in medical research, the treatment of diseases including cancer has progressed dramatically and those survivors may die from causes other than the one under study, especially among elderly patients. Motivated by the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) female breast cancer study, background mortality is incorporated into the mixture cure proportional hazards (MCPH) model to improve the cure fraction estimation in population-based cancer studies. Here, that patients are "cured" is defined as when the mortality rate of the individuals in diseased group returns to the same level as that expected in the general population, where the population level mortality is presented by the mortality table of the United States. The semiparametric estimation method based on the EM algorithm for the MCPH model with background mortality (MCPH+BM) is further developed and validated via comprehensive simulation studies. Real data analysis shows that the proposed semiparametric MCPH+BM model may provide more accurate estimation in population-level cancer study.
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sim.8693 | DOI Listing |
Glob Epidemiol
June 2025
Business Analytics (BANA) Program, Business School, University of Colorado, 1475 Lawrence St. Denver, CO 80217-3364, USA.
AI-assisted data analysis can help risk analysts better understand exposure-response relationships by making it relatively easy to apply advanced statistical and machine learning methods, check their assumptions, and interpret their results. This paper demonstrates the potential of large language models (LLMs), such as ChatGPT, to facilitate statistical analyses, including survival data analyses, for health risk assessments. Through AI-guided analyses using relatively recent and advanced methods such as Individual Conditional Expectation (ICE) plots using Random Survival Forests and Heterogeneous Treatment Effects (HTEs) estimated using Causal Survival Forests, population-level exposure-response functions can be disaggregated into individual-level exposure-response functions.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFStat Methods Med Res
January 2025
CITMAga and Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Universidade de Vigo, Vigo, Galicia, Spain.
The study of the predictive ability of a marker is mainly based on the accuracy measures provided by the so-called confusion matrix. Besides, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve has become a popular index for summarizing the overall accuracy of a marker. However, the nature of the relationship between the marker and the outcome, and the role that potential confounders play in this relationship could be fundamental in order to extrapolate the observed results.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFBrief Bioinform
November 2024
School of Artificial Intelligence, Jilin University, 3003 Qianjin Street, 130012 Changchun, China.
Accurate identification of causal genes for cancer prognosis is critical for estimating disease progression and guiding treatment interventions. In this study, we propose CPCG (Cancer Prognosis's Causal Gene), a two-stage framework identifying gene sets causally associated with patient prognosis across diverse cancer types using transcriptomic data. Initially, an ensemble approach models gene expression's impact on survival with parametric and semiparametric hazard models.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFArch Sex Behav
January 2025
Aurum Institute, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Over the past two decades, numerous HIV prevention trials have targeted thousands of young African women, aiming not only to reduce transmissions through biomedical interventions but also to promote safe sexual practices through intensive risk reduction sessions. The primary objective of this study was to review the impact of risk reduction sessions in HIV prevention trials conducted in Africa. We assessed changes in sexual behaviors among women enrolled in various biomedical intervention trials across the African region using both visual and quantitative evaluations.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFLifetime Data Anal
January 2025
Department of Applied Mathematics, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China.
We study kernel-based estimation methods for partially linear varying coefficient additive hazards models, where the effects of one type of covariates can be modified by another. Existing kernel estimation methods for varying coefficient models often use a "local" approach, where only a small local neighborhood of subjects are used for estimating the varying coefficient functions. Such a local approach, however, is generally inefficient as information about some non-varying nuisance parameter from subjects outside the neighborhood is discarded.
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