Decomposed Collaborative Modeling Approach for Probabilistic Fatigue Life Evaluation of Turbine Rotor.

To improve simulation accuracy and efficiency of probabilistic fatigue life evaluation for turbine rotor, a decomposed collaborative modeling approach is presented. In this approach, the intelligent Kriging modeling (IKM) is firstly proposed by combining the Kriging model (KM) and an intelligent algorithm (named as dynamic multi-island genetic algorithm), to tackle the multi-modality issues for obtaining optimal Kriging parameters. Then, the decomposed collaborative IKM (DCIKM) comes up by fusing the IKM into decomposed collaborative (DC) strategy, to address the high-nonlinearity problems for accelerating simulation efficiency. Moreover, the DCIKM-based probabilistic fatigue life evaluation theory is introduced. The probabilistic fatigue life evaluation of turbine rotor is regarded as case study to verify the presented approach; the evaluation results reveal that the probabilistic fatigue life of turbine rotor is 3296 cycles. The plastic strain range ∆ and fatigue strength coefficient ' are the main affecting factors to fatigue life, whose effect probability are 28% and 22%, respectively. By comparing with direct Monte Carlo method, KM method, IKM method and DC response surface method, the presented DCIKM is validated to hold high efficiency and accuracy in probabilistic fatigue life evaluation.