Preoperative color Doppler ultrasound parameters for surgical decision-making in upper arm arteriovenous fistula maturation.

Objective: Current scientific evidence is insufficient to determine the best vascular access for each patient. It is an unmet clinical need because vascular access dysfunction accounts for 20% to 30% of hospital admissions. Our aim was to evaluate preoperative color flow Doppler ultrasound (CDUS)-derived parameters (vein diameter and brachial artery flow and diameter) and their effect interaction with comorbidities as predictors of brachiocephalic (BC) and brachiobasilic (BB) arteriovenous fistula (AVF) maturation.

Methods: A prospective analysis was performed of patients who underwent BC and BB AVF as primary definitive vascular access between January 2016 and May 2017. Variables included patients' demographics, comorbidities, medication, preoperative blood pressure, and CDUS-derived parameters. Outcomes were patency 48 hours after surgery and fistula maturation at 6 and 12 weeks. Nonparametric descriptive and univariate statistics were used. Logistic regression models and receiver operating characteristic curve analyses were performed.

Results: There were 132 patients (91 with BC AVF and 41 with BB AVF) included. The 48-hour patency was 91.7%. AVF maturation at 6 weeks was observed in 71.3%, and AVF maturation at 12 weeks was observed in 66.3%. There were no associations in univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis between AVF maturation and comorbidities. Systolic blood pressure was an independent predictor of 48-hour patency with an optimized cutoff of 154 mm Hg (area under the curve, 0.73; P = .013; Youden index, 0.40). Vein diameter with tourniquet was an independent predictor of AVF maturation at 6 and 12 weeks with an optimized cutoff of 3.9 mm (area under the curve, 0.74; P < .001; Youden index, 0.38).

Conclusions: AVF maturation was independent of comorbidities. Systolic blood pressure ≥154 mm Hg and vein diameter with tourniquet ≥3.9 mm were the associated conditions that better predicted BC and BB AVF maturation. There were no effect interactions between CDUS-derived parameters and associated comorbidities.