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A game-theoretic model of Monkeypox to assess vaccination strategies. | LitMetric

A game-theoretic model of Monkeypox to assess vaccination strategies.

PeerJ

Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA, United States of America.

Published: June 2020

Monkeypox (MPX) is a zoonotic disease similar to smallpox. Its fatality rate is about 11% and it is endemic to the Central and West African countries. In this paper, we analyze a compartmental model of MPX dynamics. Our goal is to see whether MPX can be controlled and eradicated by voluntary vaccinations. We show that there are three equilibria-disease free, fully endemic and previously neglected semi-endemic (with disease existing only among humans). The existence of semi-endemic equilibrium has severe implications should the MPX virus mutate to increased viral fitness in humans. We find that MPX is controllable and can be eradicated in a semi-endemic equilibrium by vaccination. However, in a fully endemic equilibrium, MPX cannot be eradicated by vaccination alone.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7316080PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.7717/peerj.9272DOI Listing

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