Background: The previous attempts for pT2 substaging of prostate cancer (PCa) were insufficient in providing prognostic subgroups and the search for new prognostic parameters to subcategorize pT2 PCa is, therefore, needed. Therefore, the current study investigated the association between tumor distribution patterns and the biochemical recurrence (BCR)-free survival rate in pT2pN0R0 PCa.

Methods: Following radical prostatectomy, the anatomical distribution of PCa in 743 men with pT1-pT3pN0 disease was analyzed to determine 20 types of PCa distribution patterns. Then, 245 men with pT2pN0R0 PCa was considered for prognostic evaluation with a mean follow-up period of 60 months. The spatial distribution patterns of PCa were evaluated using a cMDX-based map model of the prostate. An analysis including 552,049 comparison operations was performed to assist in the evaluation of the similarity levels of the distribution patterns. A k-mean cluster analysis was applied to determine groups with similar distribution patterns. A decision-tree analysis was performed to divide these groups according to frequency of BCR. The BCR-free survival rate was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier curves. Predictors of progression were investigated using a Cox proportional hazards model.

Results: BCR occurred in 8.2% of the 245 men with pT2pN0R0 PCa. The median time of recurrence was 60 months (interquartile range [IQR]: 42-77). In univariate and multivariate analyses, the prostate volume and the distribution patterns were independent predictors for BCR, whereas the sub-staging of pT2 tumors, Gleason grading, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level, and relative tumor volume were not. In the patients with pT2pN0R0 disease, PCa distribution patterns with the apical involvement were significantly associated with the risk of BCR (P = 0.001).

Conclusion: The spread tumor patterns with the apical involvement are associated with a high-risk of BCR in the pT2 tumor stage. The vertical tumor spread could be considered in developing improved prognostic pT2 sub-categories.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00345-020-03323-8DOI Listing

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