AI Article Synopsis
- Recent studies indicate that increased uncertainty correlates with a decline in fertility rates.
- The research focuses on how social trust acts as a coping mechanism during times of heightened uncertainty, particularly in the context of Italy's economic recession from 2004 to 2013.
- Findings reveal that higher social trust positively influences fertility rates, especially among younger individuals, and that its effectiveness diminishes when public childcare services are more accessible, suggesting that government policy can help mitigate low trust levels.
Article Abstract
Recent studies have shown higher uncertainty to be associated with fertility decline. This study considers the role of social trust as a coping mechanism when general uncertainty increases. We analyse the fertility data of Italian provinces from 2004 to 2013, thereby incorporating the period of economic recession, which unexpectedly and exogenously increased uncertainty across the population. We find a robust and significantly positive impact of social trust on fertility, which is stronger among younger age groups. Moreover, we find that the buffer effect of trust decreases with the level of public childcare provision, suggesting that low trust endowments may be counterbalanced through public policy.
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| http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2020.1742927 | DOI Listing |
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