Identifying the sources and spatial patterns of potentially toxic trace elements (PTEs) in Shanghai suburb soils using global and local regression models.

Destructive development of suburban areas in some metropolises has exposed suburban soils to high risk of potentially toxic trace elements (PTEs) enrichment, which also threatens human and ecosystem health. This study investigated the pollution status, sources and spatial patterns of four PTEs (Pb, Cd, Cr and As) in 1805 soil samples collected from the suburbs of Shanghai in 2015. Nineteen potential sources, including: 6 soil property factors, 10 proximity factors and 3 topography factors, were selected to help explain the PTEs aggregation using logistic regression models from global and local perspectives. The statistical results of PTEs concentration revealed that Cd showed the highest pollution risk in local soils, which was followed by As. Soil property was the primary factor affecting the PTEs (except Cr) enrichment, both identified by global models and local models. The local model particularly emphasized the significant correlation between soil property and PTEs in most parts of the outer suburbs and southeastern inner suburbs. Some proximity factors such as distance to district center and water were negatively correlated with Cd pollution and some topography factors such as elevation and slope were closely related to As pollution. It is worth noting that in the coastal areas, especially Chongming Island, there were obvious PTEs depositions in the soil near the estuary. This study helps to identify the sources of anthropogenic contamination and geogenic enrichment of the four PTEs and their spatial patterns, playing an essential role in formulating regional environmental policies for coastal cities.