AI Article Synopsis
- Switzerland has seen a decrease in COVID-19 cases due to social distancing measures implemented on March 16, 2020, but easing restrictions risks a potential second wave of infections.
- Hospitals need to prepare for a possible surge in ICU admissions from respiratory issues related to the virus.
- The icumonitoring.ch platform provides detailed hospital-level projections for ICU usage by analyzing data on beds, ventilators, and COVID-19 case forecasts, and updates every few days to assist decision makers.
Article Abstract
In Switzerland, the COVID-19 epidemic is progressively slowing down owing to “social distancing” measures introduced by the Federal Council on 16 March 2020. However, the gradual ease of these measures may initiate a second epidemic wave, the length and intensity of which are difficult to anticipate. In this context, hospitals must prepare for a potential increase in intensive care unit (ICU) admissions of patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome. Here, we introduce icumonitoring.ch, a platform providing hospital-level projections for ICU occupancy. We combined current data on the number of beds and ventilators with canton-level projections of COVID-19 cases from two S-E-I-R models. We disaggregated epidemic projection in each hospital in Switzerland for the number of COVID-19 cases, hospitalisations, hospitalisations in ICU, and ventilators in use. The platform is updated every 3-4 days and can incorporate projections from other modelling teams to inform decision makers with a range of epidemic scenarios for future hospital occupancy.
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| http://dx.doi.org/10.4414/smw.2020.20277 | DOI Listing |
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