Natural history and clinical outcomes of pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms based on the WHO 2017 classification; a single-center experience of 30 years.

Background/objectives: This single-center study aimed to evaluate treatment outcomes and long-term prognosis of patients with pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (PanNENs) based on the World Health Organization (WHO) 2017 classification.

Methods: We enrolled 245 patients with PanNENs treated at Kyushu University Hospital between January 1987 and March 2018. PanNENs were categorized according to the WHO 2017 classification or further subdivisions of Ki-67 index. Clinicopathological features, median survival time (MST), and prognostic factors were retrospectively analyzed.

Results: The number of PanNENs, especially non-functioning PanNENs, has increased over the last decade. The mean MST of all patients was 202 months; which was longest in patients with NET G1 (n = 145, MST = 261 months) relative to NET G2 (n = 72, 132 months), NET G3 (n = 3, 34 months) and NEC G3 (n = 17, 9 months). Prognosis in patients with surgery as the first-line treatment was significantly better than in those with drug therapy. However, 26% of patients who underwent curative resection developed recurrence after a median time of 28.7 months. In unresectable PanNENs (n = 97), the MST and 5-year survival rate were 78 months and 55.8%, respectively. Poor differentiation, Ki-67 index of >10% and presence of liver metastasis were significant unfavorable predictors. Response to first-line therapy (stable disease/partial response) and three or more treatment regimens were significant favorable predictors for unresectable PanNENs according to multivariate analyses (p < 0.01).

Conclusions: We demonstrated the utility of the WHO 2017 classification for PanNENs in the real clinical setting. For better prognosis in PanNENs, the use of three or more regimens should be considered.