Use CT Imaging to Predict the Short-Term Outcome of Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy in Patients With Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

Objective: To extract the computed tomography (CT) imaging features of the primary lesions in patients with advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and to study whether these imaging features can predict the short-term outcome after concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT).

Methods: From January 2014 to December 2015, a total of 49 patients with locally advanced ESCC who underwent CCRT were analyzed retrospectively. They were randomly categorized into the training and validation groups. Collection of CT imaging of patients before and intermediate stage undergoing radiotherapy. The correlations between imaging characteristics and short-term outcome were analyzed. The accuracy of cutoff value was verified by imaging characteristics of patients in validation group.

Result: There were 38 patients in the training group and 11 patients in the validation group. 13 patients in the training group were classified as responders and 25 patients as nonresponders. According to the CT imaging before radiotherapy, there are no significant differences between responders and nonresponders. According to the CT imaging in the middle stage of radiotherapy, responders showed significantly higher Roundness than nonresponders ( = .004, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.0419-0.212). The areas under the ROC curves for the ability to predict significantly tumor response were 0.768 for Roundness ( = .001, 95% CI = 0.603-0.889). The cutoff value of Roundness is 0.3099. Roundness showed no significant associations with survival parameters.

Conclusions: Computed tomography imaging in the middle stage of radiotherapy can predict the short-term outcome of concurrent chemoradiotherapy for patients with locally advanced ESCC but have no predictive effect on the total survival time.