Updated 10-year outcomes of percutaneous radiofrequency ablation as first-line therapy for single hepatocellular carcinoma < 3 cm: emphasis on association of local tumor progression and overall survival.

Objectives: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the 10-year overall survival and local tumor progression (LTP) of percutaneous radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for single nodular hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) < 3 cm using a large longitudinal hospital registry and clinical factors associated with overall survival and LTP.

Methods: A total of 467 newly diagnosed patients with single nodular HCC < 3 cm who underwent RFA as first-line therapy between January 2008 to December 2016 were analyzed. Overall survival and LTP were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox regression and competing risks Cox regression analysis were performed to identify prognostic factors for overall survival and LTP, respectively.

Results: The 5- and 10-year overall survival rates after RFA were 83.7% and 74.2%, respectively. LTP (hazard ratio (HR), 2.03; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.19-3.47) was one of the important factors for overall survival after RFA. The 5- and 10-year LTP rates after RFA were 20.4% and 25.1%, respectively. Periportal location (subdistribution HR, 2.29; 95% CI, 1.25-4.21), subphrenic location (2.25, 1.34-3.86), size ≥ 1.5-< 2.0 cm (1.88, 1.05-3.39), and size ≥ 2.0 cm (2.10, 1.14-3.86) were independent factors for LTP.

Conclusion: Ten-year therapeutic outcomes of percutaneous RFA as first-line therapy were excellent for single HCC < 3 cm. LTP was an important prognostic factor for overall survival after RFA. Periportal and subphrenic location of HCCs and tumor size were predictors for the development of LTP after RFA.

Key Points: • Updated 10-year survival outcome of percutaneous radiofrequency ablation as first-line therapy for single hepatocellular carcinoma < 3 cm was higher than previously reported. • Local tumor progression was an important prognostic factor for overall survival after percutaneous radiofrequency ablation. • Periportal and subphrenic location of hepatocellular carcinomas and tumor size were predictors for the development of local tumor progression after percutaneous radiofrequency ablation.