AI Article Synopsis

  • The study uses data from 1850 to 2015, analyzing 5 million household and population records to explore trends in intergenerational social mobility in the U.S.
  • While intergenerational mobility has declined over the last 150 years, the rate of decline is slower than previously believed, with occupational rank correlations rising particularly for those born before 1900.
  • Although overall rank-based measures of mobility have remained stable, absolute mobility for the non-farm population increased for cohorts born before 1900 but has decreased for those born after 1940.

Article Abstract

We make use of newly available data that include roughly 5 million linked household and population records from 1850 to 2015 to document long-term trends in intergenerational social mobility in the United States. Intergenerational mobility declined substantially over the past 150 y, but more slowly than previously thought. Intergenerational occupational rank-rank correlations increased from less than 0.17 to as high as 0.32, but most of this change occurred to Americans born before 1900. After controlling for the relatively high mobility of persons from farm origins, we find that intergenerational social mobility has been remarkably stable. In contrast with relative stability in rank-based measures of mobility, absolute mobility for the nonfarm population-the fraction of offspring whose occupational ranks are higher than those of their parents-increased for birth cohorts born prior to 1900 and has fallen for those born after 1940.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6955340PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1905094116DOI Listing

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