Preoperative fecal elastase-1 (FE-1) adds value in predicting post-operative pancreatic fistula: not all soft pancreas share the same risk - A prospective analysis on 105 patients.

Background: Scores predicting postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) mainly use intraoperative predictors. The aim of this study is to investigate the role of pancreatic exocrine function expressed by fecal elastase (FE-1) as preoperative predictor of POPF.

Methods: Patients scheduled for PD at the Department of General and Pancreatic Surgery, University of Verona Hospital, from April 2017 to July 2018 were prospectively enrolled. FE-1 was measured in a preoperative stool sample through an ELISA test.

Results: The study population consisted of 105 patients. The POPF rate was 17.1%. Patients developing POPF showed high values of FE-1 (454 vs 155 mcg/g; p < 0.01), and FE-1 was an independent predictor of POPF (OR 1.008, CI 95% 1.003-1.014; p < 0.01), even considering only patients with a "soft" texture. A cut-off value of 260 mcg/g presented 100% sensitivity and 64.3% specificity (AUC 0.83) in predicting POPF. Approximately 30% of patients with a "soft" pancreatic texture presented with FE-1 < 260 mcg/g and did not develop POPF.

Conclusion: FE-1 is a promising tool to preoperatively assess the risk of POPF after PD. Further studies with larger populations are needed to potentially incorporate FE-1 into risk scores for PD with better stratification.