Acute mesenteric ischemia (AMI) is a rare life-threatening condition, especially for the patients with transmural intestinal necrosis (TIN). However, the optimal time for surgical intervention is controversial. As a series study, this study aimed to identify the outcomes and clinical characteristic of patients with TIN. Clinical data of 158 patients with AMI from January 2010 to December 2017 were retrospectively analyzed in a national gastrointestinal referral center in China to confirm the outcomes and identify predictors for TIN. According to the results of pathological assessment and follow-up, 62 patients were TIN and 96 were non-TIN. Patients with TIN have a higher mortality and incidence of severe complications. The significant independent predictors for TIN were arterial lactate level (OR: 4.76 [2.29 ∼ 9.89]), free intraperitoneal fluid (OR: 9.49 [2.56 ∼ 35.24]) and pneumatosis intestinalis (OR: 7.08 [1.68 ∼ 29.82]) in computed tomography (CT) scan imaging. The overall area under the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve of the model was 0.934 (95% confidence interval: 0.893 ∼ 0.974). Using ROC curve, the cutoff value of arterial lactate level predicting the onset of TIN was 2.65 mmol/L. Patients concomitant with TIN manifest a higher risk of poor prognosis. The three predictors for TIN were arterial lactate level >2.65 mmol/L, free intraperitoneal fluid and pneumatosis intestinalis. Close monitoring these predictors would help identify AMI patients developed TIN and in urgent need for bowel resection.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00365521.2019.1646800DOI Listing

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